A free weekly newsletter on the sponsor-bank layer. New issue every Thursday.Subscribe

Past Issues

A banker in a pinstripe suit at a wood-panelled desk studying a strategic growth plan and a quarterly expense report, a city skyline beyond the windowNO. 003

You have been watching the wrong letter.

The Fed just filed a Prompt Corrective Action directive against a small Kansas bank — a capital action, not a compliance one. It is the category that actually predicts a bank failing, and almost nobody in fintech has learned to read it.

July 9, 2026 · 7 min read · Read this issue →
Four bankers in suits around a glass conference table lit by a glowing world map of cross-border payment flowsNO. 002

The most important line in the order is the one that isn’t there.

An OCC order against a small bank that grew six-fold on cross-border fintech — and why the restriction it leaves out matters more than the findings it includes.

June 25, 2026 · 8 min read · Read this issue →
Four bankers in suits huddled over a ledger in a wood-panelled dining room, a gold bar on the tableNO. 001

The tells come a year before the breakup. Most people read them the week after.

Why the people with the most to lose when a sponsor bank gets into trouble are almost always the last to find out — and the public signals that say otherwise.

June 15, 2026 · 6 min read · Read this issue →
A weekly newsletter · Sponsor-bank & fintech risk

The weekly briefing on the banks hiding behind your fintech — and which links are about to break.

Every Thursday, Counterparty reads the filings, court records, and regulator actions you do not have time for — and sends one clear issue on which sponsor banks are weakening, and who depends on them.

Get the free weekly issue
Free forever · One email a week · Read by investors, risk teams & fintech operators
Every Thursday
One issue, straight to your inbox
9+ signals
Distilled into plain English each week
$0
Free — and we never sell to the banks we cover
The problem most people can’t see

When you use a banking app, you’re usually not dealing with a bank.

Most fintech apps “rent” their banking from a small, federally insured bank working quietly in the background — often with a connector company sitting in between. The arrangement is invisible, and it works fine, until it doesn’t.

What you see

The App

A polished neobank, card, or business-finance tool. A technology company — not a chartered bank.

The plumbing

The Connector

Middleware that links the app to the bank. When Synapse failed in 2024, real people had funds frozen — and lost.

The real bank

The Sponsor Bank

A small, federally insured bank holding the deposits. One bank can quietly sit beneath dozens of apps at once.

What it watches

On their own, each signal looks minor. Together, they tell a story.

The warning signs are scattered across regulatory sites, court records, financial filings, licensing databases, and news. Counterparty watches them continuously and reads them as one picture.

01

Who banks whom

Reads the fine print on fintech sites and filings to map which app relies on which bank — and which connector sits between.

02

The dependency web

Tracks how many apps sit on each bank and connector, so it knows where a single failure would ripple outward.

03

Financial health

Watches quarterly bank filings for shrinking deposits, losses, and thin safety margins.

04

Regulatory action

When a regulator formally disciplines a bank, that is a strong signal — and Counterparty catches it.

05

Lawsuits & bankruptcies

Legal trouble naming one of these banks or the apps that depend on them.

06

"Going independent" moves

When an app applies for its own banking license, it is signaling it wants to leave its current bank — visible in advance.

07

Hiring & firing

Sudden moves to hire compliance, risk, and BSA/AML staff — or quiet executive departures — often reveal a bank responding to a silent, non-public regulator order before any action becomes visible.

08

The broader weather

Interest rates, the overall health of this group of banks, and the tone of news coverage — the macro backdrop against which every individual signal is read.

09

Many more, every day

A growing library of additional proprietary signals we develop and add continuously — the edge that keeps Counterparty ahead of the headlines.

How it scores and rates

Two simple questions. One clear rating.

How troubled is it?

Financial warning signs, regulatory actions, lawsuits, and negative news combine into one picture of distress.

How much rides on it?

A bank with one small app behind it is a very different story from one quietly supporting twenty — the blast radius if something breaks.

Every rating comes with a short, plain-English reason — “deposits down sharply, unprofitable, and named in six lawsuits” — not just a number. And because we keep watching, we can tell a bank that is simply small from one that is actively getting worse. That direction of travel is often the most useful part of all.

Distress × Dependency
WATCH
Troubled, few dependents
CRITICAL
Troubled, many dependents
CLEAR
Healthy, few dependents
HIGH
Healthy now, many dependents
← Fewer apps depend · More apps depend →
Sample Bank, N.A.CRITICAL
“Deposits down 31% YoY, two quarters unprofitable, named in six lawsuits, and twelve apps depend on it.” Illustrative — not a real institution.
Who reads it

Built for the people who carry the risk.

Investors

Backing fintech companies, who need to know whether a startup they are funding is sitting on a shaky bank.

Advisors & Consultants

Guiding fintechs and wanting an independent, candid read on counterparty risk.

Insurers & Risk Teams

Pricing or underwriting this kind of exposure with better, earlier information.

Fintech Operators

Choosing a banking partner — or keeping watch on the one they already rely on.

The independence principle

Counterparty does not sell to the banks and connectors it scores.

That independence is the point. We can be candid precisely because we don’t work for the companies we rate. The free newsletter shares the most interesting findings publicly — a public service, and the front door to the deeper intelligence behind it.

The free weekly newsletter

Get the briefing every Thursday.

One email a week — the week’s read on the sponsor-bank layer, in plain English. Join investors, risk teams, and fintech operators getting Counterparty’s early warnings before the headlines.

Free forever · One email a week · Unsubscribe anytime · We never sell to the institutions we cover.